| Stacking Estimate (95% CI) | SC Estimate (95% CI) | Time trend Estimate (95% CI) | Time trend (no offset) Estimate (95% CI) | STL+PCA Estimate (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.93 (0.79, 1.08) | 0.95 (0.81, 1.1) | 0.92 (0.79, 1.06) | 0.91 (0.77, 1.06) | 0.94 (0.84, 1.04) |
| 3 | 0.85 (0.71, 1.17) | 1.14 (1.02, 1.25) | 0.84 (0.71, 1) | 0.92 (0.78, 1.07) | 0.98 (0.87, 1.1) |
| 4 | 0.91 (0.76, 1.18) | 1.13 (1.01, 1.27) | 0.89 (0.76, 1.03) | 0.86 (0.75, 0.98) | 1.12 (1.03, 1.22) |
| 5 | 0.84 (0.74, 1.21) | 1.16 (1.03, 1.31) | 0.83 (0.74, 0.93) | 0.92 (0.82, 1.02) | 1.08 (1.01, 1.17) |
| 6 | 1.15 (0.97, 1.2) | 1.01 (0.95, 1.07) | 0.99 (0.9, 1.09) | 0.84 (0.78, 0.9) | 1.15 (1.1, 1.2) |
| 7 | 1.22 (1.08, 1.3) | 1.14 (1.07, 1.21) | 1.05 (0.96, 1.14) | 1.05 (0.96, 1.12) | 1.24 (1.17, 1.3) |
| 8 | 1.28 (0.9, 1.34) | 1.09 (1.02, 1.17) | 1.12 (1.03, 1.2) | 0.93 (0.86, 1.01) | 1.28 (1.22, 1.34) |
| 9 | 1.25 (1.02, 1.44) | 1.26 (1.06, 1.44) | 1.19 (0.95, 1.48) | 1.16 (0.94, 1.43) | 1.05 (0.91, 1.21) |
| groups | Synthetic Controls | Time trend | Time trend (no offset) | STL+PCA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.486 | 0.112 | 0.349 | 0.053 |
| 3 | 0.086 | 0.914 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | 0.000 | 0.771 | 0.000 | 0.229 |
| 5 | 0.080 | 0.920 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | 0.050 | 0.000 | 0.015 | 0.935 |
| 7 | 0.215 | 0.000 | 0.018 | 0.767 |
| 8 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.126 | 0.874 |
| 9 | 0.854 | 0.002 | 0.144 | 0.000 |
| Group | Greatest Inclusion Variable | Greatest Inclusion Probability | Second Greatest Inclusion Variable | Second Greatest Inclusion Probability | Third Greatest Inclusion Variable | Third Greatest Inclusion Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ach_noj | 0.9797087 | j21_all_ages | 0.9322628 | dehyd | 0.4713877 |
| 3 | j21_all_ages | 0.9706136 | dehyd | 0.2171062 | ach_noj | 0.1745075 |
| 4 | dehyd | 0.9999995 | j21_all_ages | 0.8539985 | ach_noj | 0.3101832 |
| 5 | dehyd | 0.9999008 | ach_noj | 0.7047179 | j21_all_ages | 0.6977135 |
| 6 | dehyd | 1.0000000 | ach_noj | 0.1947519 | j21_all_ages | 0.1488149 |
| 7 | dehyd | 0.9951961 | ach_noj | 0.1851269 | j21_all_ages | 0.1079875 |
| 8 | ach_noj | 0.9985242 | dehyd | 0.8461622 | j21_all_ages | 0.3625965 |
| 9 | j21_all_ages | 0.9999999 | dehyd | 0.9342764 | ach_noj | 0.2843089 |
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